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A
basic strategy chart is just what the word says -- basic.
It was developed to give you a clear, definitive, black
and white way to play all your starting hands. In that regard
it's a life saver. Browsing over a basic strategy chart
though, you tend to get the impression that all the correct
plays are equally correct. This is not really the case.
Here's what I mean.
When you have 16 against an Ace, odds are you'll win the
hand 24 times out of 100 if you hit (counting pushes as
a half win and a half loss), but only 17 times if you stand.
Mathematically, it's
a no-brainer. You've got to hit it every single time since
it's not even close. If you don't, you'll always be hurting
your chances to win the hand, big time. In fact, that's
how it is with most hands.
When playing
tournaments you really have to be something akin to a military
strategist, especially on the last hand of the round. I've
seen so many folks in fifth or sixth position con¬servatively
play 70% to 75"rb of their final bankroll and win the
last round because they anticipated and scrutinized everyone
else's final bankroll and bet. After analyzing all the possible
outcomes, these folks stay in contention as top play¬ers
in the round.
Please understand that in many cases a player would win
the final round anyway if he or she received a blackjack,
and subsequently doubled the last wager, putting that player
on top. But also in many cases, a player keeps enough in
reserve to stay in contention in the event he or she loses.
The key to winning in tournaments is being able to assess
the probabilities of the people in the lead going into the
final hand, busting out their hands, and not having enough
reserve bankroll to stay in contention on the final chip
count. It's a real chess game to be sure.
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